Migration issues

We're continuing to have issues with the migration from Wordpress to Blogger. Apparently there's no straightforward way of performing this, and third party tools have left us without large chunks of the site archive and/or major formatting issues on individual posts.

So for the time being we won't be updating this page until matters are settled- we intend to fix the issues during the league's Christmas in order to back up and running as usual in 2013.

In the meantime, you can continue to follow us on Twitter and Facebook, of course. We'll continue live tweeting games.

Also, you can check out our site editor, Joseph Sexton's, own personal Twitter feed. On this, you'll find news, nonsense, and eejitry to varying to degrees and links to all his articles.

Thanks for patience and continued support- and a happy Christmas and New Year to you all!

Week 13: Sunday's Previews

After the unfortunate technical difficulties which scuppered Saturday's previews, we're back in the gane. Here are all of Sunday's games, in briefer form than normal.

We'll have a preview for the Monday night game up later on.

As ever- ALL KICK OFF TIMES CET

GETAFE V ESPANYOL (12:00)

Getafe did well to fight back for a 2-1 win over a gutsy Valladolid side. Luis Garcia Plaza's use of the bench was key, with the sub Lafita settling the game with a cracker.

Espanyol's rotten luck continues. They played very well Valencia and were worth a point. A penalty that was never was, and two sendings off off the back of it somes up their luck this season.

They can't keep dropping points in games where they've played well, but Getafe are in fine form here and will win.

ATHLETIC BILBAO V DEPORTIVO (17:00)

Finally, the question will be answered. With top scorer Aritz Aduriz suspended following his yellow at the Bernabéu last week, will the ever-stubborn Bielsa continue to overlook him? He did just that on day 1, starting with the goal-shy Gaizka Toquero.

They'll be fresh at least following the suspension of Thursday's Europa League tie in Israel, a competition which they are now out of.

Even when playing well- and they have performed very well times, Deport struggled to turn draws into victories, or go down to defeat. A porous backline hasn't helped, though they are now back to full strength there. Going down 2-0 at home to Levante last time (the team with the least shots on traget in the league) tells you something. On the road, they've found things particularly tough.

The key to this lies in the atmosphere withing Athletic- especially with the farcical incident during the week *I wrote about here*. If the mood is right, they should resume the recent good form they took the Bernabéu they'll win this. If they're not, an improved Depor perormance could really put the hurt on Bilbao. I'm going with a home win

ATLÉTICO MADRID V SEVILLA (19:00)

An interesting game, this. Already the colchonero fateful oare donning their cloak of pessismm. If anything, Real's defeat earlier tonight v Betis only heightens that. With the derby on the way, and the chance to move 8 points clear of their crosstown rivals, they've reverted to their fatalistic type. They also saw Sevilla produce their best football in years in that evisceration of Betis last week.

But a ouple of things- Cholo opted to give a rest to many players midweek, meaning the big guns go in fresh. And the sad news for their opponents is that top scorer Álvaro Negredo is injured. He didn't score in last week's rout (but was unlucky not to) but his abscence simply cannot be overstated.

There's a further knock on. José Antonio Reyes had his best game by a mile that night since his return to this club 11 months ago. And for sure, he'll not be wanting for motivation against the club he left. But will he and Navas be able to reach such heights in the absence of Negredo? On the plus side, Ivan Rakitic was sensational and Gary Medel excellent.

Whatever about the fans, I think Cholo will keep the jitters at bay for the Atleti players. One game at a time... and without their most potent attacking threat, I expect Sevilla to lose.

Sergio Ballestetros - "None shall pass!"

LEVANTE V BARCELONA (21:00)

Levante, put simply, is a horrible place to go; and not just when the place was reduced to a waterpolo court on Real's recent visit. The fact that Real hadn't scored on this ground in four prior visits to that explains a lot. There is no great secret to Levante's style, but it's a succesful one. Outside of the top 2, they picked up more points in the league than any other side in the calendar year 2012, eventually making the Europa League where they've reached the knockouts already. Despiting the least possession of any team in the league, less shots on goal than anyone in the top half too, they're sitting 6^th.

They're organised and teak tough. They know how mix it up physically, but are clever enough to play the refere in this regard. This is crucial as the level of inconsitency between referees in La Liga drives one to distraction at times. Suffice to say the homeside will have done their homework on today''s official, Pedro Jesús Pérez Montero.

In short, this is tie in which a Guardiola team might have struggled but Tito Vilanova is making a habit of winning games that previously had proven problematic in years gone by. Scoring lots of goals helps, for sure, but their propensity for scoring late goals is staggering- goals to run up the score, goals to turn around defeats. Goals, and lots of them.

The defence has been a problem for sure. No team in the last 32 years has led with so many conceded. But with the first choice centre pairing back fit, and with quality cover both there and in the full back positions, the days of leaking like a sieve at the back might just be over.

This is going to be a really challenge, but after a real fight I expect Barcelona to sneak off with a win.

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Tech Outage!

Apologies, but it looks like we won't be able to get previews up for Saturday's action (nor tonight's game).

Hopefully this will be resolved soon, check back tomorrow night for all Sunday's previews.

Champions League Tuesday: Barcelona & Valencia highligts

SPARTAK MOSCOW 0 BARCELONA 3



 VALENCIA 1 BAYERN 1



link

La Liga week 12: Goals & highlights

All the weekend's action right here for you.

OSASUNA 0 MÁLAGA 0
VALENCIA 2 ESPANYOL 1




BARCELONA 3 ZARAGOZA 1


REAL MADRID 5 ATHLETIC BILBAO 1


DEPORTIVO 0 LEVANTE 2


CELTA VIGO 1 MALLORCA 1


GETAFE 2 VALLADOLID 1


GRANADA 0 ATLÉTICO MADRID 1


SEVLLA 5 REAL BETIS 1


REAL SOCIEDAD 4 RAYO VALLECANO

Week 12: Sunday Previews

All kick-off times local (CET)

Human after all? After drawing two blanks Falcao will be looking to get among  the goals again

Deportivo v Levante (12:00)

Two contrasting sides- Depor have been loose and naive and have conceded more goals than any other side in the division; Levante are gritty and have the joint fewest goals scored in the top half. Depor have two wins and a draw from five games at the Riazor, Levante have a solitary win on the road.

Depor welcome Aguilar, Ayoze and Marchena back, but Pizzi is suspended following his red card in the 5-3 reverse at Zaragoza, a big loss for them. This probably means Javier Camunas will start. Levante's only absentee of note is Diop, Michel should start.

Depor only have 4 points from the last 15, and have struggled to win even the games where they've been on top, but Levante have only scored two goals on the road. Martins spurned a golden opportunity against Real Madrid last week, but his overall form in front of goal could tip this in the visitors favour.

Celta Vigo v Mallorca (16:00)

Celta go into this on a poor run of form, but that has to be mitigated by the fact that they've recently faced both Real & Barcelona. They were also in complete control at 2-0 against Rayo Vallecano last weekend until Gustavo Cabral got sent off. He'll be replaced in defence by Jonathan Vila.

Mallorca, however, are sinking like a stone having lost 6 on the bounce to render their bright start to the season a distant memory. Certainly that's the case for forward Tomer Hemed who was hooked early againt Barcelona last week- though that was their best recent performance by a long stretch.

The visitors are missing several first team players, most notably Giovani Dos Santos (who admittedly has flattered to deceive) and Joao Victor, and with such a short squad this leaves them rather bare. Celta, results aside, have been playing some good, positive football. There's a high level of understanding between their front four, and Aspas struck two against Rayo. A more than decent defence is well screened by Oubina and Alex Lopez. In short, they have a lot more about them than Mallorca and should be good enough to see them off.

Getafe v Valladolid (17:50)

Getafe are dropping away after straight defeats to Atleti and Real Betis but have shown themselves to be a good side this term. Their three-quarter line of Pedro Leon, Abdel Barrada and Diego Castro have been excellent. In front of them, Álvaro Vazquez has been anything but, registering a solitary goal to date and his place as a starter is in doubt.

Valladolid have been one of the stories of the season. They've taken their atrractive possession-based approach up a level, and have outperformed Celta & Depor who finished above them in the segunda last season.

Abraham is still out in defence for the hosts, whereas Marc Valiente is less of a loss for the visitors. Home or away, the philosophy stays the same for Miroslav Djukic's side. They claimed a draw via the penalty spot at Valencia last week but are up against and obdurate bunch in Getafe. A difficult game to call.

Granada v Atletico Madrid (19:45)

Suddenly, Granada are starting to show signs of life. They felt they were in their defeat here to Bilbao a fortnight ago but set that right in claiming a most unexpeted win at high-flying Betis last weekend. Left back Guilherme Siqueira should return, and with Dani Benitez integrated back into their starting XI after his lengthy ban, they can count on a vital component of the side that avoided relegation last term.

But this is a big ask for them. Atletico got back to winning ways last week against Getafe an Silvio is the only absentee here, and would probably not have started anyway. Falcao hasn't scored in his last two, form which he took into the midweek friendly against Brazil in New Jersey. He played the full 90 minutes there, as did Juanfran in Spain's junket in Panama.

Given the importance of both of those players, they'll be hoping to travel doesn't exact a hefty toll. At least others have been easing the goal buden on the Colombian. Adrian scored his first of the season last week, and Raúl García has chipped in with 3 despite being in out of the side.

All the signs point to an away win, and that's fully what I expect here.

Sevilla v Real Betis (21:30)

The Seville derby is one of those great La Liga occasions and Betis' strong start adds further spice to the encounter. Neither side enjoyed the last matchday; Sevilla went down in Bilbao while Betis were stunned at home by struggling Granada.

Benat has been a huge part of the Betis success story, but Pepe Mel would be happier had he not played the whole 90 minutes in 30c heat in Spain's win in Panama. He was the difference between the sides last season when Betis triumphed 2-1 on this ground.

Damian Perquis missed this through injury from the visitors but Mario fit again to take his place in defence that's not such an issue. Piotr Trochowski, out long term is Sevilla's only absentee as Diego Perotti has been named in the squad.

That old maxim about form going out the window in derbies is a lazy cliche, but this is certainly fiendishly tough to call. On the one hand, one can point to how well Betis have down this term. But Sevilla are only 4 points behind their neighbours, and in that run of three defeats in six was the game where Barcelona hauled themselves back from 2-0 down to triumph. Álvaro Negredo's having an excellent season, with 8 goals in 12. I have a slight fancy for Sevilla, but I'd more inclined to look at the market for red cards in this one. Gary Medel's a serial offender in this regard, with 1 to his name already this season (4 yellows in total).

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Week 12: Saturday Previews

Pochettino's last stand?

All kick-off times local (CET).

Here's a summary of the suspensions and injuries affecting those sides in action on Saturday.

Suspended:

Oscar De Marcos, Ander Herrera (Athletic Bilbao)

Sergio Busquets (Barcelona)

Christian Stuani (Espanyol)

Emiliano Armenteros (Osasuna)

Aly Cissokho (Valencia)

Abraham, Cristian Sapunaru (Zaragoza)

Injured:

Galarreta, Inigo Pérez (Athletic Bilbao)

Eric Abidal, Isaac Cuenca, Marc Muniesa, Thiago, Adriano, Alexis Sánchez (Barcelona)

Sergio Sánchez, Nacho Monreal (Málaga)

Punal, Masoud, Nino (Osasuna)

Marcelo, Gonzalo Higuaín (Real Madrid)

Jeremy Mathieu, Sergio Canales, Joao Perreira, Fernando Gago, Pablo Piatti (Valencia)

Ivan Obradovic, Glen Loovens, Maurizio Lanzaro (Zaragoza)

Doubtful:

Fernando Amorebieta (Athletic Bilbao)

Alex Song (Barcelona)

Osasuna v Málaga (16:00)

OSASUNA probably even surprised themselves last weekend, producing a stunning and badly needed 3-0 win away to fellow bottom feeders Espanyol. It was a curious game, where in many respects they were second best, but they produced a level of intensity not seen their home defeat to Barcelona in week 2. As such, a massive lift after their struggling start to the season.

They'll go into this one weakened, however. Armenteros has been their one outstanding player to date but he won't feature here. There's a big doubt over another important player, midfielder Punal, and another regular, Nino.

MALAGA come into this off the back of their first real dip of the season. They've not won in their last four in all competitions. In particular, their last two games, both at home, which saw 2-1 defeats to Rayo & a Real Sociedad shorn of Antoine Griezmann were desperately disappointing. Perhaps the shortness of their squad is beginning to catch up. Nacho Monreal is a big loss at left back.

Summary

The respesctive changes in form makes this one very difficult to call. As such, there's two important areas to consider in assessing this one. Firsly, there's the absentees, which look to hit the hosts a lot harder. Secondly, there's the question of whether they can match last week's intensity and whether Málaga's scope to improve will give them the edge.

Valencia v Espanyol (18:00)

VALENCIA have been edging up the table in recent weeks, while struggling to match the consistency they've showed in Europe. Last week's draw against Valladolid put the breaks back on after their impressive win over Atlético but the sending off of Aly Cissokho and subsequent penalty- which angrered their coach Pellegrino- conditioned that draw.

Cissokho is thus suspended, and with Jeremey Mathieu still injured, Valencia are missing their two first choices at left back. Joao Perreira isn't ready on the other flank, which means that Antonio Barragan should continue there.

Fernando Gago is back on the injured list, which makes matters trickier still. Fortunately, Ever Banega's integrated himself back into the team offsetting the loss of his compatriot. It was puzzling to see Pellegrino opt for Nelson Valdez from the start last week. Roberto Soldado replaced him, and will be restored to the starting line-up here.

ESPANYOL were left shellshocked after going down 3-0 at home to Osasuna last week. Few would have seen that one coming as with their recent upswing in form this was a game they were strongly favoured to win. The result was particularly harsh given that they dominated possession and created far more chances. But despite hitting the woodwork, they familiar failings in the final third were all too evident.

Christian Stuani picked up a yellow to earn himself a suspension, meaning on-loan Samuele Longo will step in up front. Finally, that ridiculous list of injuries that's plagued their season has cleared. Wakaso impressed in the opening weeks, though his form has dropped off since. They'll be hoping his midweek goal for Ghana helps him rediscover his mojo.

Off the field, the farce continues. Ahead of next week's elections, talk emerged last weekend that Mauricio Pochettino was on his way out. Previously, there'd been talk of him getting the sack, but last weekend in fact it was a case of him wanting to walk. He's staying for now, but every passing week sees his position under further scrutiny.

Summary

An important one for both sides. Valencia's performanes, particulary in Europe has lifted the pressure on Pellegrino as the heat's been turned up on his compatriot Pochettino. Valencia's overall incosistency leads me to hesitate a little on calling this one, even if all else points to a home win. In Espanyol's favour, the expectation of gaining points here is low, but regardless there's been a element of rabbit in the headlights running through their displays all season.

Barcelona v Zaragoza (20:00)

Leaky at the back, but still flying, BARCELONA put their defeat at Celtic Park behind them against Mallorca to extend their best ever start to a domestic season. Not without making things interesting though. Flying into a three goal lead, two for the hosts left them sweating a little 'til Messi's 76^th goal of the calendar year made the points safe.

The injury situation's improving too. Gerard Piqué is already back, and while Carles Puyol is available for selection he's likely to be eased back into action. Timely stuff, as with Alex Song almost certain to miss out and with Sergio Busquets suspended, they'll be able to play a defence comprised of actual defenders for the first time since the transition to democracy.

Alexis Sánchez reported back injured following Chile's defeat in Serbia, but Pedro's double against Panama cotinued his hot streak for the national team. David Villa struck his 299^th career goal that night, and will fancy his chances of reching the 300 mark against his former club should he get the nod.

ZARAGOZA come into this one in excellent form. Four wins from their last five sees them in the dizzy heights of 11^th, impressive given it was assumed they'd be hovering around the bottom again. They produced a fine comeback from two down against Depor last week, albeit aided greatly by the expulsion of Pizzi. Hélder Postiga's fine form continued with a brace.

They go into this one short their first choice full back pairing however, and Zucculini was hauled off in the first half following a nightmare display last week. This would be problematic at the best of times, but it's positively disastrous given the task they'll face here.

Summary

The so-called FIFA virus has plagued Barcelona in recent seasons, but its symptoms appear banished under Tito Vilanova. Given that Xavi was left out, and both Iniesta and Cesc played 45 minutes each, the midfield will be fresh. Zaragoza have excelled against middling oppostion this term, but their 4-0 defeat at the Bernabéu a couple of weeks back- even if it flattered Real to a fair degree- offers a fair indication of how this one will go. Vilanova may well continue his policy of shuffling the deck in midfield and attack as they look to clinch their Champions League group in midweek, but it's unlikely to cause Barcelona any difficulty.

Real Madrid v Athletic Bilbao (22:00)

REAL welcome back Karim Benzema and Sami Khedira for this game. With the defensive injury crisis eased, we should see something approaching their strongest first XI here. Cristiano Ronaldo missed Portugal's midweek friendly following an injury sustained at the elbow of Levante's David Navarro last week, but is fit to start here.

That was a big win for Real, especially in the circumstances. It was their first win in four games at the Ciutat de Valencia, where they lost last term. On a paddling pool of a pitch, under pressure, and having surrendered the lead after the break, the victory was a sweet one.

As such, Mourinho will be more satisfied than he's been of late. He criticised their performance despite the win to Zaragoza the week before, and indeed the 4-0 scoreline was flattering.

ATHLETIC's situation is a little trickier. Curiously, they're on the same points total as this time last season, but with all the brouhaha that's surrounded their season the outlook couldn't be any more different. They've lost 15 of their last 16 meetings against the Champions, and lost 4-1 on this ground last season.

Friday's news is that Fernando Amorebieta is highly doubtful. It's unlikely that he'll start here. Suspensions rob them of the inportant duo of Oscar De Marcos abd Ander Herrera. Marceloa Bielsa intends to try Gurpegi in midfield, which should mean a central defensive pairing of Mikel San José and Ekiza.

Markel Susaeta marked his debut for the national side with a goal against Panama on Wednesday. The ongoing nonsense means that Fernando Llorente is unlikely to start. In his place, Aritz Aduriz has scored half of their 16 league goals to date but he's one booking away from a suspension, which could leave Bielsa with an interesting dilemma ahead of next week. Last week's home win over Sevilla was huge, coming off the back of a lucky 2-1 at Granada.

Summary

Bilbao will do well to get anything here. Real are unbeaten at home since Barcelona's visit last December. A smart bet would be for to lead at half-time and full-time. Both of these sides' games tend to entail goals, so look for prices on three or more in total.

Casillas; Arbeloa, Ramos, Pepe, Coentrao; Khedira, Alonso; Cristiano Ronaldo, Modric, Ángel di Maria; Benzema

Iraizoz; Iraola, Ekiza, San José, Aurtenetxe; Gurpegi, Iturraspe; Susaeta, Muniaín, Ibai Gómez; Aduriz

Gone fishing

We won't be able to offer previews for this coming weekend. Some punts I'd consider worth looking into this weekend.

Espanyol to beat Osasuna- still decent value on this. I'm Going for a HT draw, FT win.

Rayo v Celta 2.5 goals.

Hélder Postiga any time scorer Zaragoza v Depor (long shot I'm going for here- Depor away win)

Atlético to beat Getafe.


Spain travel to Panama midweek for another one of those ridiculous friendlies. Suffice to say we won't be previewing that. We will, however, be back on Monday with a review of the weekend's action. And come next weekend, we'll be back as usual with previews and game of the week.

Week 10- Monday- Getafe v Real betis

A dinger of a Monday night fixture.

I wouldn't want to call this one way or the other. And more importantly, I don't have time to do a full preview. Sorry! I'll point to this- Betis have been very good on the road. As noted in these pages earlier, Getafe historically can't string three wins together. That proved the case last week. If you believe in such laws of probability- and, if you do, you're an idiot for the fact that one thing happening repeatedly in the past does not guarantee it will NEXT time (NEXT being the operative word, dear reader(s)); much as it didn't in Manchester United's recent home defeat to Spurs- you'll be none the wiser. I wouldn't advise betting on this game. I have no great call, other than (a) I feel Getafe will win this and (b) whichever winner you pick, a half-time draw would be a good punt with them rolling on to victory.

It's your money, folks.

I'll direct you again to the absentee list for some further pointers. Here they are again:

Helpful, isn't it? Fabricio of Betis is anything but a regular.

Avoid, mug punters.

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Week 10- Sunday previews

Other writing commitments mean that this Sunday we’re going to have to keep the previews briefer. As ever all kick off times are CET.

And remember, we have a full list of all the suspensions and injuries here.

Real Sociedad v Espanyol (1200)

Griezmann absolutely starred on the road for the hosts last Monday. Playing in the centre, he bagged a brace in an exciting draw against Valladolid. As their key man, his absence through injury is going to be felt. Elustondo and Zurutuza are both out.

Espanyol are improving. Even when nothing was going right for them earlier in the season, they were doing most things right- it was just that when they got to the final third, they looked clueless. And as luck went against them and defeats piled up, they lost heart. There was even talk of Mauricio Pochettino being out of a job.

A battling draw against Málaga was preceded by their first win of the season against Rayo the week before, earned off the back of a monster performance from Joan Verdú. They’re without the suspended Juan Forlín and Victor Sánchez, but with the wind in their sails they look good for a point. But even more so- this will be their first away win.

Deportivo La Coruña v Mallorca (16:00)

Gutsy comeback against Celta in last week’s derby draw, but failed to press the man advantage home in the second half. No injuries of note. Mallorca’s Joaquín Caparrós’ decision to all but concede the home game against Real appeared foolish- after all, they’d not been far off beating Real on the same ground last year. The result was a shockingly flat performance and a 5-0 which Real won at a canter.

Depor’s level of performance in this season hasn’t been reflected in their points total. As they’ve kept leaking goals, the attack which had looked dangerous in the opening weeks has tailed off. But they’re overdue a win and should get that today.

Osasuna v Valladolid (18:00)

Losing to Sporting from the Segunda midweek was no surprise- it was a banker. Valladolid are right down there, and the table does not lie in their case. 

Valladolid have been a breath of fresh air to the division. Maybe Manucho won’t reach his stated target of 40 goals this season, but this team with their neat passing game and clear footballing identity under Djukic (basically, everything that their opponents aren’t) play without fear. 

Away win.

Granada v Athletic Bilbao (19:45)

The mood around Granada has them targeting this fixture as winnable. They off field nonsense between the club and the council over the stadium has been resolved at last. They took heart from their second half performance in the loss to Zaragoza in week 8, but have no right to. They’re on firmer ground regarding last week’s defeat at Levante though. They played much better, perhaps better than their hosts who won 2-1 courtesy of Obafemi Martins.

As for the visitors, it’s do or die time. They’re flopping as badly in the Europa League as they are at home. They playing fantastically in going down to Valencia in week 8, where Ander’s sending off hamstrung them. No lack of spirit on show that night. They reverted to type in losing to high-flying Osasuna at home.

Carles Gurpegui potential absence gives them further issues in the defence, and there’s a strong sense that this is do or die time for Marcelo Bielsa.

Away win.

Sevilla v Levante (21:30)

Sevilla are a bit unpredictable, but the curve under Michel has ben largely of a positive bent. Perhaps it’s harsh to be too critical of their defeat at Zaragoza last week, as the latter are beginning to change perceptions while racking up the results. Sevilla managed to win in the Copa del Rey against an improving Espanyol midweek. Diego Perotti’s been out for some time, but should make the bench here.

Levante’s are on a roll. There’s no great secret to their game. Obafemi Martin’s has his the ground running, with 5 goals in 5 games. They lie sixth, and for a team of such scant resources, this makes a mockery of notions of adjusting to European football. Their evergreen captain, Sergio Ballesteros returns from suspension. They’ve won their last three in the league, and four from the last 5.

Sevilla have lost two of their last three, slipping away from the Champions League results in the process. All in all, this one is no fun to call! I’m leaning towards a Levante ambush, but I wouldn’t bet on it.

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Saturday- Game of the Week - VALENCIA V ATLÉTICO MADRID

VALENCIA V ATLÉTICO (22:00 CET)

Definitely the highlight in this weekend’s calendar. 

VALENCIA

Valencia will be hoping for a Miracle. Can Banega be the rug that ties the room together?

Valencia are the new Jekyll and Hyde team of the Spanish scene. But mostly it’s been bad. Those who thought they were about to turn the corner with the victories over Bilbao & BATE were given a baño de realidad as the Spanish say when it all came crashing down again in last week’s abject surrender at Betis. 

They shouldn’t have been surprised. Post Unai Emery, Valencia are a ragged side. Their squad on paper and by all logic looks better this season, but the performances and results tell another tale.

Due credit has to be given for their 3-0 win at BATE in day three of the Champions League. It wasn’t just a stunning, dominant, clinical display. It was all of that and more against a side who had thumped French side Lille before taking Bayern Munich apart on the same ground. They made it look so easy. Despite all that’s gone wrong this season, this is what Valencia are capable of, and must only add to the the frustrations of their 'aflicción' that they’ve failed to show this side of their game this season.

The win that preceded it wasn’t against the abject Bilbao we’ve grown accustomed to this season. Despite being under the cosh, the Basques played like lions that night, defending for their lives and making trouble on the counter. Taking the lead twice and looking to dig in, Valencia were tepid for large stretches. The introduction of Ever Banega marked a changing point, and although on the front foot even with numbers even, it was only then that they started to turn the screw. They pummelled the visitors in the final quarter, but a heroic display for Iraizoz meant they had to wait until the death.

Atlético

Atlético need no introductions. And there are few new things we can say about the phenomenon that is Radamel Falcao García. But at times, the rest of the cast get overlooked and the story of Atleti under Cholo Simeone is that of a real team effort, a real tight unit, and fantastic management from the former midfielder.

They’ve won their last 8, and won them in a variety of ways. But what stand out are those tight victories, those games that looked to have been slipping away from them. Not even the sort of the games that they would have drawn in other years, but would in fact have lost. Two examples spring to mind- the win over a Valladolid side who had played superbly in week 5; The hard-fought and late win over Málaga on clásico weekend; Falcao’s last minute moment of magic to steal the show on a weekend where Depor and Barça served us up the game of the season a fortnight ago. And then a real team effort where Falcao’s goal was merely the gloss against Osasuna last week. Raúl García, scorer of a peach in that game, has been a revelation. 

Arda, Koke, Emre, Adrian; all play their part in supporting the totem. The midfield work hard, break intelligently, and the defence has, for the most part, been a rock.

Summary

And yet- despite the form book, this one is incredibly hard to call. Let’s not talk of the bad old Atleti, that unreliable Atleti. Few really believe they can be champions (though you can be sure that they do); but neither are they likely to come off the rails should they lose here.

But we have seen glimpses of the quality of this Valencia side, however fleetingly. And not just in that game in Minsk. With Banega getting closer to match fitness, it’s been clear to all what they’ve been missing. Gago went missing in the Bilbao game, but has been a promising addition for the most part in the midfield zone.

There are no surprise absentees for any team, so it’s just a question of who starts. Not for Atleti, because they’ve proven themselves a real squad, where all those called upon have done what’s been asked of them. More for the hosts. Will they move to a three man midfield of Banega, Gago and the man who excelled against Bilbao, their mainstay, Tino Costa? Will the disappointing summer recruit Andrés Guardado start again?

But all told, on form there’s only one team likely to win this. But I’m going to sit on the fence, because I think Valencia have a big performance in them later on today at Mestalla.

Saturday's Previews- Part 1

Song or Adriano in defence? Marc Bartra? Cesc or Iniesta? Questions remain for Tito Vilanova

ALL KICK OFF TIMES CET

Saturday:

Málaga v Rayo Vallecano (16:00)

Barcelona v Celta Vigo (18:00)

Real Madrid v Zaragoza (20:00)

Valencia v Atlético Madrid (22:00)

Take a look at our extensive list of players absent through injury, suspension, and loan contract issues in our previous post.

Málaga v Rayo Vallecano

MÁLAGA

Málaga naturally had a touch of fatigue against a rejuvenated Espanyol side last weekend. As such, the scoreless draw was a good result for both teams. They’ve got a full deck to choose from in the attacking line, save for long term absentee Julio Baptista who is edging back towards fitness. But with those in situ performing so well this season, he’ll have his work cut regaining a place when he comes back.

The excellent Nacho Real misses out at left back, where the attack-minded Eliseu can slot in. It’s still touch and go with Toulalan, although the emergence of Ignacio Camacho means he’s the most important man in that defensive midfield zone.

Across all competitions, their defence has been excellent- 5 clean sheets from 5 in European games, and another 5 from 10 in La Liga. A depleted selection shipped 3 in their midweek Copa del Rey win at Cacereno, but that’s of no real relevance here.

RAYO:.

Rayo overall have made a decent start to the season, with some encouraging performances. They’ve lost 5 of their last 6 games, but that fact is somewhat skewered considering they’ve faced both Real (who they gave a really could game to) and last week Barcelona. Their approach was commendable in pressing high early on and looking to attack Tito Vilanova’s side, and for the first half an hour they looked impressive. But the first two concessions meant they were never going to get back into that one.

This of course is another big ask, and the hosts will be fresh having sent out a second string in the Copa del Rey. Rayo also opted for wholesale changes in their own first leg 1-0 reversal at Las Palmas, which won’t have perturbed them too much.

They will however be without Jordi Amat (suspended) and Rubén, because of a loan stipulation, which could be a key factor here. Manuel Arena is injured, not a regular. Labaka is back from suspension, and should start here.

It’s doubtful Rayo will press so again, and although there has been speculation that they might return to three man defence they’ve tried with some moments of success at times, a flat back four seem more likely.

Summary:

Rayo’s defence has been porous all season whatever system they’ve opted for. Their form on the road has been shocking going back to last season, where they’ve lost 11 from their last 12. For Málaga’s recent home record those figures are reversed where they’ve won 5 from 6. Their form, and miserly defence across all competitions (and at home) means that anything other than a Málaga win is unthinkable, and it’s been a long time since they last lost to today’s visitors.

Probable teams:

Málaga

Caballero; Eliseu, Gámez, Demichelis, Weligton, Eliseu; Camacho, Toulalan/Iturra; Portillo, Isco, Joaquín; Saviola

Rayo:

Cobeño/Giménez; Tito, Labaka, Rodri, Casado; Javi Fuego; Carlos, Chori Domiguez/Leo, Piti; Delisabic

Barcelona v Celta Vigo

BARCELONA

An impressive if routine 5-0 victory over a Rayo side who really gave it a go at times last time out, and Tito Vilanova well have been content with the defence overall and the cleansheat.

Dani Alves is back and fit for selection after a 4 week layoff, but the big question is will he walk right back into the first 11 where Martín Montoya has excelled. Having gotten his break, he’s excelled. Not just in the defensive side where his positioning has been superb and his willingness to come narrow to make a back three at times, but in those forward forays too. 

Much in the manner in which Dani Alves at his best benefited from the balance offered on the other side by Eric Abidal, there’s a case to be made that the youngster similarly benefits the rampaging Jordi Alba. All of which leaves Tito with a dilemma.

The defence is starting to improve, and with Mascherano back from suspension, Alex Song might well partner him there again. Marc Batra, of course is another options, despite those training ground rumours. It would be harsh to see Adriano, who’s performed admirably drop-out. 

After two stunning performances against Depor and Rayo, Cesc Fábregas should keep his place, you would think, though Iniesta is now recovered from his niggling injuries and fatigue. Perhaps though, given that Cesc played a full game midweek in the Copa de Rey might influence Tito’s selection in Iniesta’s favour.

87% of Barcelona’s last 15 league goals have come from that Cesc - Messi link-up.

David Villa was amongst the goals at Rayo, and with Sánchez getting the nod midweek, we should see the MVP of Messi, Villa, & Pedro seen at Vallecas for the first time since Villa’s horrific leg break last December start again here.

Celta

Celta were excellent in the opening 45 minutes of last week’s 1-1 derby draw against Depor at Balaídos, and even after Gustavo Cabral’s sending of shortly after half time still looked the more likely side to score. They are a team who have been improving all the time.

No notable injury worries, but of course Cabral will be a big miss in defence. Michael Krohn-Dehli has been one of the revelations of the season in the league, and has a real eye for an assist. After a difficult start, Iago Aspas, last season’s top scorer has found his form, with some important assists and retaining that eye for a goal.

Underage Spain starlet Hugo Mallo at right back was superb in the promotion season, along with rightback Roberto Lago. Both have made the step up seamlessly.

They made Real labour to a 2-0 victory at the Bernabéu a fortnight ago, and even caused Real moments of real danger on quick breaks but couldn’t get it right in the final third often enough. Real’s midfield that day was porous though, and with with Barcelona at full strength there this is not likely to be a profitable avenue of attack.

Paco Herrera is likely to switch to the same 4-3-3 that he used in that game. Jonathan Vila or Samuel will step in for the suspended Cabral:

Summary:

It’s entirely possibly that Celta will be every bit as obdurate in defence and quick to break intelligently as they did against. As alluded to above, a different point of attack will be needed here, but they have players to cause danger in wide areas. Barcelona’s defensive selection matters hugely in this context. Tito Vilanova will want to build on last week’s clean sheet. Celta can keep this one tight, but an early goal could see them endure a difficult evening. Goals in each half would be a safe call, as would Barça +2.5 but punting on a draw at half-time with a home win F/T while a riskier option is a value option.

Probable Teams:

Barcelona:

Valdés; Montoya, Song/Adriano, Mascherano, Alba; Xavi, Busquets, Fábregas; Villa, Messi. Pedro

Celta:

Varas; Lago, Vila/Samuel, Tuñez, Mallo; Bustos, Alex López, Oubiña; A Fernández, Iago Aspas, Krohn-Dehli

Real Madrid v Zaragoza

Real’s 5-0 shellacking at Mallorca was another of their routine 5-0s, but all the more impressive given that they struggled badly at the Iberostar last season, second best for large stretches and ultimately benefitting from terrible refereeing decisions to win 2-1. Mallorca are a much better team this season, making this result all the more impressive.

News early today broke that Álvaro Arbeloa is fit for selection, where he will probably come in at left back. Neither Michael Essien nor Sergio Ramos trained yesterday, but both will participate here. With Khedira still not ready, Essien will move to midfield, alongside Modric due to Xabi Alonso’s suspension. Ramos will retain his berth on the right of defence, meaning another run-out for the excellent Raphael Varrane in central defence alongside Pepe

Mourinho has stated that all those rested in the midweek Copa del Rey over Alcoyano will return here, giving Higuaín further chance to cement his place as a first choice number 9. Mourinho also noted that no players would be held back for the midweek European clash with Dortmund.

Zaragoza have confounded expectations this term, especially after a sluggish start where they playing some awful stuff. It was lucky like another long season for the Aragonese side, but the side has gelled, the performances and results have improved.

They go into this injury and suspension free. That should see them start with their usual XI, though it’s a tight call in the heart of the defence between Glen Looven and previous incumbent Javier Paredes there.

They have tightened up and improved beyond all recognition as a team, where Hélder Portiga’s eye for goal and the excellent work done in midfield by Apoño, along with last season’s hero Roberto in goal have played a huge part in their upturn in fortunes. They now sit ninth, and are picking in the points early this time round- a stark contrast with last term.

Summary

Real are on a roll again, scoring for fun; basically, the Real of last season. And they are looking more like them too. Despite ongoing absentees, they now have a back four of players in their natural positions, and all are individually excellent. With last season’s line of 3 in place behind a free-scoring Gonzalo Higuaín, their earlier travails seem a distant memory.

Zaragoza have tightened up and improved beyond all recognition as a team. Hélder Portiga’s eye for goal and the excellent work done in midfield by Apoño, along with Monañes and Zucculini’s wing play and last season’s hero Roberto in goal have played a huge part in their upturn in fortunes. They now sit ninth, and are picking in the points early this time round- a stark contrast with last term. But this will be a step too for Manolo Jiménez’ side.

Real to win at half-time and full-time, and to win with a 2.5 handicap look pretty safe calls for betting.

Probable Teams

Real Madrid:

Casillas; Arbeloa, Varane, Pepe, Ramos; Essien, Alonso; Di Maria, Ozil, Cristiano Ronaldo; Higuaín

Zaragoza

Roberto; Sapunaru, González, Paredes, Abraham; Apoño, Movila; Zucculini, Victor Rodriguez, Montañés; Hélder Postiga

Valencia v Atlético Madrid’s featured preview of the day will follow tomorrow

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Week 10- Absentees & Fixtures

Antoine Griezmann struck twice at Valldolid but could miss Sociedad's clash with Espanyol on Sunday

Ahead of the weekend's games, here's the latest on absences along with kick-off times.

Fixtures (ALL KICK OFF TIMES CET)

Saturday:
Málaga v Rayo Vallecano (16:00)
Barcelona v Celta Vigo (18:00)
Real Madrid v Zaragoza (20:00)
Valencia v Atlético Madrid (22:00)

Sunday:
Real Sociedad v Espanyol (12:00)
Deportivo v Mallorca (16:00)
Osasuna v Valladolid (17:50)
Granada v Athletic Bilbao (19:45)
Sevilla v Levante (21:30)

Monday:
Getafe v Real Betis (21:30)


And a summary on confirmed and potential absentees for this weekend’s games. It's worth noting that word has just come out that Álvaro Arbeloa is now available for selection again for Real Madrid, while Sergio Ramos and Michael Essien have both missed training.

Loan contract stipulations:
Rubén (Rayo Vallecano)

Suspended:
Ander Herrera (Athletic Bilbao)
Gustavo Cabral (Celta Vigo)
Juan Forlín (Espanyol)
Victor Sánchez (Espanyol)
Jordi Amat (Rayo Vallecano)
Xabi Alonso (Real Madrid)
Álvaro Rubio (Valladolid)


Injuries ( * = doubtful)
Galarreta (Athletic Bilbao)
Iñigo Pérez (Athletic Bilbao)
Carlos Gurpegui* (Athletic Bilbao)
Borja Ekiza (Athletic Bilbao)
Gerard Piqué (Barcelona)
Eric Abidal (Barcelona)
Isaac Cuenca (Barcelona)
Marc Muniesa (Barcelona)
Thiago (Barcelona)
Carles Puyol (Barcelona)
Fabricio (Betis)
Sergio Rodríguez (Betis)
Rubén Perez (Betis)
Natxo Insa (Celta Vigo)
Samuel (Celta Vigo)
Salomão (Deportivo)
Abel Aguilar (Deportivo)
Javi López (Espanyol)
Jaime Romero (Granada)
Fran Rico (Granada)
Hassan Yebda* (Granada)
Dariusz Dudka (Levante)
Julio Baptista (Málaga)
Jeremy Toulalan* (Málaga)
Nacho Monreal (Málaga)
José Nunes (Mallorca)
Álvaro Giménez (Mallorca)
Javi Márquez (Mallorca)
Antonio López (Mallorca)
Joao Victor (Mallorca)
Uche (Mallorca)
Marc Betrán (Osasuna)
Manuel Arena (Rayo Vallecano)
Marcelo (Real Madrid)
Fábio Coentrão (Real Madrid)
Álvaro Arbeloa (Real Madrid)
Sami Khedira (Real Madrid)
Liassine Cadamuro (Real Sociedad)
Gorka Elustondo* (Real Sociedad)
Claudio Bravo (Real Sociedad)
David Zurutuza* (Real Sociedad)
Antoine Griezmann* (Real Sociedad)
Piotr Trochowski (Sevilla)
Diego Perotti (Sevilla)
Jeremy Mathieu (Valencia)
Sergio Canales (Valencia)
Pablo Piatti (Valencia)
Ivan Obradovic (Zaragoza)
Maurizio Lanzaro (Zaragoza)

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Week 8: Sunday previews (Part 3)

Osasuna v Real Betis (19:45 CET)

Bottom Osasuna looked to haver stopped the rot with a four goal humping of Levante in week 6, but Mendilbar’s side followed that up with a tepid display in their 1-0 loss at San Mamés last time out.

Real Betis are flying high in 6th. They come into this off the back a 2-0 win over Real Sociedad last time round, and have been impressive on the road this year; not just in terms of results, but also performances.

Their key man in the middle, Beñat, earned his first call up to the Spain squad but didn’t see playing time. They don’t have any fresh injuries of concern, though Chica remains out for another month.

If the visitors have been prone to Jekyll and Hyde syndrome, they’ve been improving in that regard. The hosts on the other hand have been resolutely consistent. The more one looks at what happens since, the more week 2’s strong showing against Barcelona appears to be down to the opposition’s failings.

And although they were impressive in beating Levante, that came against opponents fresh from Europa League business- opponents who have also lost every away game this term.

Betis have enough quality to keep the Pamplona club rooted the foot of the table for another week.


Real Sociedad v Atlético Madrid (21:30 CET)

Both sides will take satisfaction from the way they’ve begun the season. Although frequently too negative on the road, Real Sociedad look to be a team coming together with several promising talents in their ranks.

Atlético, powered by Falcao’s goals (or mere presence in the case of the winner against Málaga for all bar Marca) have built on their run under Simeone last season and look like a real team. A win here will lift them back level with Barcelona at the top.

Elustondo and Zurutuza are both absent for the hosts. Atlético are without the Turkish attacking midfielder Arda Turan, so his compatriot Emre is likely to start.

Atleti’s right back Juanfran has come in for a lot of criticism following Spain’s draw against France in midweek. It was he who ultimately ceded possession in the lead up to France’s late equaliser, but some of the barbs have been over the top. In a game where Spain’s midfield was overrun and with Ribery in regal form, who was left horribly exposed after replacing Arbeloa.

The Málaga and Valladolid victories hint at the capacity of this Atleti side to get the job done even when they’ve struggled to get on top of games. In Griezmann and (when on form) Vela, Sociedad have attackers capable of causing most defences problems.

But Atleti’s defence is well drilled & protected. And despite all the plaudits going Falcao’s way, in the likes of Koke, Adrián and even Raúl García off the bench they have a degree of variety and should prevail here.

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