Friday 16 November 2012

Week 12: Saturday Previews

Pochettino's last stand?



All kick-off times local (CET).

Here's a summary of the suspensions and injuries affecting those sides in action on Saturday.

Suspended:
Oscar De Marcos, Ander Herrera (Athletic Bilbao)
Sergio Busquets (Barcelona)
Christian Stuani (Espanyol)
Emiliano Armenteros (Osasuna)
Aly Cissokho (Valencia)
Abraham, Cristian Sapunaru (Zaragoza)

Injured:
Galarreta, Inigo Pérez (Athletic Bilbao)
Eric Abidal, Isaac Cuenca, Marc Muniesa, Thiago, Adriano, Alexis Sánchez (Barcelona)
Sergio Sánchez, Nacho Monreal (Málaga)
Punal, Masoud, Nino (Osasuna)
Marcelo, Gonzalo Higuaín (Real Madrid)
Jeremy Mathieu, Sergio Canales, Joao Perreira, Fernando Gago, Pablo Piatti (Valencia)
Ivan Obradovic, Glen Loovens, Maurizio Lanzaro (Zaragoza)

Doubtful:
Fernando Amorebieta (Athletic Bilbao)
Alex Song (Barcelona)

Osasuna v Málaga (16:00)
OSASUNA probably even surprised themselves last weekend, producing a stunning and badly needed 3-0 win away to fellow bottom feeders Espanyol. It was a curious game, where in many respects they were second best, but they produced a level of intensity not seen their home defeat to Barcelona in week 2. As such, a massive lift after their struggling start to the season.

They'll go into this one weakened, however. Armenteros has been their one outstanding player to date but he won't feature here. There's a big doubt over another important player, midfielder Punal, and another regular, Nino.

MALAGA come into this off the back of their first real dip of the season. They've not won in their last four in all competitions. In particular, their last two games, both at home, which saw 2-1 defeats to Rayo & a Real Sociedad shorn of Antoine Griezmann were desperately disappointing. Perhaps the shortness of their squad is beginning to catch up. Nacho Monreal is a big loss at left back.

Summary
The respesctive changes in form makes this one very difficult to call. As such, there's two important areas to consider in assessing this one. Firsly, there's the absentees, which look to hit the hosts a lot harder. Secondly, there's the question of whether they can match last week's intensity and whether Málaga's scope to improve will give them the edge.


Valencia v Espanyol (18:00)
VALENCIA have been edging up the table in recent weeks, while struggling to match the consistency they've showed in Europe. Last week's draw against Valladolid put the breaks back on after their impressive win over Atlético but the sending off of Aly Cissokho and subsequent penalty- which angrered their coach Pellegrino- conditioned that draw.

Cissokho is thus suspended, and with Jeremey Mathieu still injured, Valencia are missing their two first choices at left back. Joao Perreira isn't ready on the other flank, which means that Antonio Barragan should continue there.

Fernando Gago is back on the injured list, which makes matters trickier still. Fortunately, Ever Banega's integrated himself back into the team offsetting the loss of his compatriot. It was puzzling to see Pellegrino opt for Nelson Valdez from the start last week. Roberto Soldado replaced him, and will be restored to the starting line-up here.

ESPANYOL were left shellshocked after going down 3-0 at home to Osasuna last week. Few would have seen that one coming as with their recent upswing in form this was a game they were strongly favoured to win. The result was particularly harsh given that they dominated possession and created far more chances. But despite hitting the woodwork, they familiar failings in the final third were all too evident.

Christian Stuani picked up a yellow to earn himself a suspension, meaning on-loan Samuele Longo will step in up front. Finally, that ridiculous list of injuries that's plagued their season has cleared. Wakaso impressed in the opening weeks, though his form has dropped off since. They'll be hoping his midweek goal for Ghana helps him rediscover his mojo.

Off the field, the farce continues. Ahead of next week's elections, talk emerged last weekend that Mauricio Pochettino was on his way out. Previously, there'd been talk of him getting the sack, but last weekend in fact it was a case of him wanting to walk. He's staying for now, but every passing week sees his position under further scrutiny.

Summary
An important one for both sides. Valencia's performanes, particulary in Europe has lifted the pressure on Pellegrino as the heat's been turned up on his compatriot Pochettino. Valencia's overall incosistency leads me to hesitate a little on calling this one, even if all else points to a home win. In Espanyol's favour, the expectation of gaining points here is low, but regardless there's been a element of rabbit in the headlights running through their displays all season.


Barcelona v Zaragoza (20:00)
Leaky at the back, but still flying, BARCELONA put their defeat at Celtic Park behind them against Mallorca to extend their best ever start to a domestic season. Not without making things interesting though. Flying into a three goal lead, two for the hosts left them sweating a little 'til Messi's 76th goal of the calendar year made the points safe.

The injury situation's improving too. Gerard Piqué is already back, and while Carles Puyol is available for selection he's likely to be eased back into action. Timely stuff, as with Alex Song almost certain to miss out and with Sergio Busquets suspended, they'll be able to play a defence comprised of actual defenders for the first time since the transition to democracy.

Alexis Sánchez reported back injured following Chile's defeat in Serbia, but Pedro's double against Panama cotinued his hot streak for the national team. David Villa struck his 299th career goal that night, and will fancy his chances of reching the 300 mark against his former club should he get the nod.

ZARAGOZA come into this one in excellent form. Four wins from their last five sees them in the dizzy heights of 11th, impressive given it was assumed they'd be hovering around the bottom again. They produced a fine comeback from two down against Depor last week, albeit aided greatly by the expulsion of Pizzi. Hélder Postiga's fine form continued with a brace.

They go into this one short their first choice full back pairing however, and Zucculini was hauled off in the first half following a nightmare display last week. This would be problematic at the best of times, but it's positively disastrous given the task they'll face here.

Summary
The so-called FIFA virus has plagued Barcelona in recent seasons, but its symptoms appear banished under Tito Vilanova. Given that Xavi was left out, and both Iniesta and Cesc played 45 minutes each, the midfield will be fresh. Zaragoza have excelled against middling oppostion this term, but their 4-0 defeat at the Bernabéu a couple of weeks back- even if it flattered Real to a fair degree- offers a fair indication of how this one will go. Vilanova may well continue his policy of shuffling the deck in midfield and attack as they look to clinch their Champions League group in midweek, but it's unlikely to cause Barcelona any difficulty.


Real Madrid v Athletic Bilbao (22:00)
REAL welcome back Karim Benzema and Sami Khedira for this game. With the defensive injury crisis eased, we should see something approaching their strongest first XI here. Cristiano Ronaldo missed Portugal's midweek friendly following an injury sustained at the elbow of Levante's David Navarro last week, but is fit to start here.

That was a big win for Real, especially in the circumstances. It was their first win in four games at the Ciutat de Valencia, where they lost last term. On a paddling pool of a pitch, under pressure, and having surrendered the lead after the break, the victory was a sweet one.

As such, Mourinho will be more satisfied than he's been of late. He criticised their performance despite the win to Zaragoza the week before, and indeed the 4-0 scoreline was flattering.

ATHLETIC's situation is a little trickier. Curiously, they're on the same points total as this time last season, but with all the brouhaha that's surrounded their season the outlook couldn't be any more different. They've lost 15 of their last 16 meetings against the Champions, and lost 4-1 on this ground last season.

Friday's news is that Fernando Amorebieta is highly doubtful. It's unlikely that he'll start here. Suspensions rob them of the inportant duo of Oscar De Marcos abd Ander Herrera. Marceloa Bielsa intends to try Gurpegi in midfield, which should mean a central defensive pairing of Mikel San José and Ekiza.

Markel Susaeta marked his debut for the national side with a goal against Panama on Wednesday. The ongoing nonsense means that Fernando Llorente is unlikely to start. In his place, Aritz Aduriz has scored half of their 16 league goals to date but he's one booking away from a suspension, which could leave Bielsa with an interesting dilemma ahead of next week. Last week's home win over Sevilla was huge, coming off the back of a lucky 2-1 at Granada.

Summary
Bilbao will do well to get anything here. Real are unbeaten at home since Barcelona's visit last December. A smart bet would be for to lead at half-time and full-time. Both of these sides' games tend to entail goals, so look for prices on three or more in total.

Casillas; Arbeloa, Ramos, Pepe, Coentrao; Khedira, Alonso; Cristiano Ronaldo, Modric, Ángel di Maria; Benzema

Iraizoz; Iraola, Ekiza, San José, Aurtenetxe; Gurpegi, Iturraspe; Susaeta, Muniaín, Ibai Gómez; Aduriz

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