Sunday 25 November 2012

Week 13: Sunday's Previews


After the unfortunate technical difficulties which scuppered Saturday's previews, we're back in the gane. Here are all of Sunday's games, in briefer form than normal.

We'll have a preview for the Monday night game up later on.

As ever- ALL KICK OFF TIMES CET

GETAFE V ESPANYOL (12:00)

Getafe did well to fight back for a 2-1 win over a gutsy Valladolid side. Luis Garcia Plaza's use of the bench was key, with the sub Lafita settling the game with a cracker.

Espanyol's rotten luck continues. They played very well Valencia and were worth a point. A penalty that was never was, and two sendings off off the back of it somes up their luck this season.

They can't keep dropping points in games where they've played well, but Getafe are in fine form here and will win.

ATHLETIC BILBAO V DEPORTIVO (17:00)

Finally, the question will be answered. With top scorer Aritz Aduriz suspended following his yellow at the Bernabéu last week, will the ever-stubborn Bielsa continue to overlook him? He did just that on day 1, starting with the goal-shy Gaizka Toquero.

They'll be fresh at least following the suspension of Thursday's Europa League tie in Israel, a competition which they are now out of.

Even when playing well- and they have performed very well times, Deport struggled to turn draws into victories, or go down to defeat. A porous backline hasn't helped, though they are now back to full strength there. Going down 2-0 at home to Levante last time (the team with the least shots on traget in the league) tells you something. On the road, they've found things particularly tough.

The key to this lies in the atmosphere withing Athletic- especially with the farcical incident during the week *I wrote about here*. If the mood is right, they should resume the recent good form they took the Bernabéu they'll win this. If they're not, an improved Depor perormance could really put the hurt on Bilbao. I'm going with a home win

ATLÉTICO MADRID V SEVILLA (19:00)

An interesting game, this. Already the colchonero fateful oare donning their cloak of pessismm. If anything, Real's defeat earlier tonight v Betis only heightens that. With the derby on the way, and the chance to move 8 points clear of their crosstown rivals, they've reverted to their fatalistic type. They also saw Sevilla produce their best football in years in that evisceration of Betis last week.

But a ouple of things- Cholo opted to give a rest to many players midweek, meaning the big guns go in fresh. And the sad news for their opponents is that top scorer Álvaro Negredo is injured. He didn't score in last week's rout (but was unlucky not to) but his abscence simply cannot be overstated.

There's a further knock on. José Antonio Reyes had his best game by a mile that night since his return to this club 11 months ago. And for sure, he'll not be wanting for motivation against the club he left. But will he and Navas be able to reach such heights in the absence of Negredo? On the plus side, Ivan Rakitic was sensational and Gary Medel excellent.

Whatever about the fans, I think Cholo will keep the jitters at bay for the Atleti players. One game at a time... and without their most potent attacking threat, I expect Sevilla to lose.

Sergio Ballestetros - "None shall pass!"


LEVANTE V BARCELONA (21:00)



Levante, put simply, is a horrible place to go; and not just when the place was reduced to a waterpolo court on Real's recent visit. The fact that Real hadn't scored on this ground in four prior visits to that explains a lot. There is no great secret to Levante's style, but it's a succesful one. Outside of the top 2, they picked up more points in the league than any other side in the calendar year 2012, eventually making the Europa League where they've reached the knockouts already. Despiting the least possession of any team in the league, less shots on goal than anyone in the top half too, they're sitting 6th.

They're organised and teak tough. They know how mix it up physically, but are clever enough to play the refere in this regard. This is crucial as the level of inconsitency between referees in La Liga drives one to distraction at times. Suffice to say the homeside will have done their homework on today''s official, Pedro Jesús Pérez Montero.

In short, this is tie in which a Guardiola team might have struggled but Tito Vilanova is making a habit of winning games that previously had proven problematic in years gone by. Scoring lots of goals helps, for sure, but their propensity for scoring late goals is staggering- goals to run up the score, goals to turn around defeats. Goals, and lots of them.

The defence has been a problem for sure. No team in the last 32 years has led with so many conceded. But with the first choice centre pairing back fit, and with quality cover both there and in the full back positions, the days of leaking like a sieve at the back might just be over.

This is going to be a really challenge, but after a real fight I expect Barcelona to sneak off with a win.



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